Insights

Three United States public companies disclosed covenant amendments in 2026. Every creditor group said yes. One got a conditional bridge of a few months, another two years, a third nearly three. The breach severity is not what separated them.

Two recurring-revenue companies each report $6.0 million of ARR. One is offered a $2.0 million facility and the other $1.0 million. The difference is contract length, and it does not appear in any metric either company reports.

July brought the first contraction in commercial and industrial balances all year, at minus 1.1 percent annualized. Over the same stretch, lending to non-bank financial institutions reached $2,016.1 billion, up 20.4 percent.

A practice buys imaging and operatory chairs in the same quarter. One faces obsolescence in five years, the other runs fifteen. Financing both on a single term loses money at both ends.

Nearly eight in ten buyers expect to fund an acquisition through one government-guaranteed program, and ninety percent expect a seller note that only twenty-nine percent of owners plan to write.

Asset-based finance was estimated at more than $6.1 trillion on 2024 data and projected to reach $9.2 trillion by 2029. Inside it are mandates written for contracted and intangible cash flows rather than for hard assets.

Private shares trade below the last round price, and how far below depends on when that round was priced. A 2021 mark trades around 60 percent under. A 2025 mark trades around 1 percent under. What that costs an early holder.

July CPI came in exactly as forecast, both measures eased, and Treasury yields fell across the board. Futures still priced a 42 percent chance of a September hike. What that asymmetry is worth on a floating balance.