Tag

private credit

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Cover showing Q2 2026 middle-market direct-lending volume of $33.6 billion, the lowest since Q2 2023, beside a stacked bar of a bank facility's $1.6 billion committed capacity plus a $1.0 billion accordion to $2.6 billion.

The Direct-Lending Slowdown Is a Buyer's Financing Window

Middle-market direct lending hit its lowest quarter since 2023 while bank and asset-based capacity expanded. Why the buyers who run a multi-source process capture the leverage.
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Stacked bar showing single-family offices at 65 percent of NAV loan demand, ahead of general partners, UHNW individuals, and multi-family offices.

Family Offices Now Lead Demand for Portfolio-Backed Credit, and They Are Borrowing to Acquire

Single-family offices now drive 65% of NAV loan demand, and 85% of that borrowing funds acquisitions, not distributions. What the shift means for owners financing against a portfolio.
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Proportional circles comparing direct lending today at $1.5 to $2 trillion, the broadly syndicated market at a comparable size, and a projected $3 trillion direct lending market by 2028.

Private Credit Has Never Had More Money. The Independent Owner Still Hears No.

Direct lending now rivals the syndicated market at $1.5 to $2 trillion, but the majority flows to sponsor-backed deals. Why non-sponsor owners get declined, and what closes the gap.
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Proportional circle chart showing U.S. private equity deal value falling to $482B in Q1 2026 from $627B in Q4 2025 while deal count held flat near 5,175.

Capital Is Available. That Does Not Mean Your Deal Gets Funded.

Private equity deal value fell 14% year over year while deal count stayed flat. In a selective market, readiness, not access, decides which borrowers actually get funded.
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Bar chart showing the federal funds rate at 3.63% today, rising to an implied 3.8% by late 2026 and 4.0% by mid 2027, with no rate cut expected before 2027 according to futures pricing.

The Rate Cut Your Capital Plan Is Counting On Is Not Coming

The 2026 rate cuts your capital plan assumed are gone. The Fed is on hold, banks are tighter, and capital has shifted to private credit. How to structure financing for the rate environment that actually exists.
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