Tag

financing strategy

2 insights

Dot plot of June 2026 factory index components showing headline PMI at 53.3 above the 50 line while employment sits at 49.7 in contraction and input prices at 73.0 remain elevated.

Expansion On Paper. A Squeeze Underneath.

A factory index above 50 reads as a growth signal, but hiring is still contracting and input costs are still high. Why financing sized to the headline misreads a margin story as a volume story.
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Bar chart of U.S. Treasury yields by maturity in mid-June 2026 showing the 2-year at 4.05 percent, 10-year at 4.5 percent, and 30-year at 4.95 percent

The 10-Year Just Hit a One-Year High. Waiting for Lower Fixed Rates Is Now a Bet Against the Curve.

The 10-year Treasury hit a one-year high while markets price the Fed to hold or hike. Why waiting for lower fixed rates is now a bet against the curve, and how to decide structure first.
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