Tag

borrowing capacity

2 insights

Dot plot of June 2026 factory index components showing headline PMI at 53.3 above the 50 line while employment sits at 49.7 in contraction and input prices at 73.0 remain elevated.

Expansion On Paper. A Squeeze Underneath.

A factory index above 50 reads as a growth signal, but hiring is still contracting and input costs are still high. Why financing sized to the headline misreads a margin story as a volume story.
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Line chart showing core PCE inflation rising from 3.0% in December 2025 to 3.4% in May 2026, with the Federal Reserve projecting 3.6% at year-end 2026.

Your Borrowing Capacity Is Shrinking While You Wait

The rate outlook flipped and commercial bankruptcy filings are climbing. Why the debt capacity you modeled last year is shrinking, and how to bring current assumptions to the lender call.
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